DUBAI, UAE – As of tonight, Wednesday, March 25, 2026, the National Centre of Meteorology (NCM) has confirmed that the ongoing unstable weather system is intensifying. A deep surface low-pressure system, combined with an upper-air trough pulling moisture from the Red Sea, is expected to trigger a severe weather outbreak across the Emirates.
While initial forecasts predicted intermittent rain, some advanced numerical models (including GFS and ECMWF) now indicate that cumulative rainfall totals across the region could reach 100mm to 500mm before the system clears on Friday. To put that in perspective, 500mm is nearly five times Dubai’s average annual rainfall.
The Forecast: What’s Happening Tonight?
The “peak” of this intensification is expected through tonight and into Thursday morning.
- The Trough: A slow-moving, deep atmospheric trough is currently moving across the Arabian Peninsula.
- The Intensity: Expect torrential downpours, frequent lightning, and sustained thunderstorms.
- The Winds: Brisk to strong winds (reaching 50 km/h) will continue, causing blowing dust and significantly reducing horizontal visibility.
Immediate Safety Actions
Given the potential for 500mm of rain—a volume capable of causing extreme flash flooding—authorities have issued the following emergency directives:
- Stay Home: Avoid all non-essential travel. Road conditions are expected to deteriorate rapidly overnight.
- Avoid Wadis and Valleys: Flash floods in dry riverbeds are the highest risk during this specific weather pattern.
- Secure Your Property: Ensure outdoor furniture, light structures, and balconies are cleared of loose items that could become projectiles in 50 km/h winds.
- Monitor the “Early Warning System”: The National Emergency Crisis and Disaster Management Authority (NCEMA) will send high-priority alerts to mobile phones if immediate evacuation or shelter-in-place orders are needed for specific districts.
Dubai Municipality & RTA on High Alert
Dubai’s infrastructure is currently being managed around the clock:
- Drainage Teams: Teams are deployed at known low-lying points (including the Al Ras and Jebel Ali corridors) to manage water accumulation.
- Command Centers: The RTA is monitoring traffic and road water levels in real-time. If you encounter a waterlogged road, do not attempt to drive through it.
Emergency Contacts
- Dubai Police: 999
- Ambulance: 998
- Civil Defence: 997
- Dubai Municipality (WhatsApp): 800 900
- RTA: 800 9090
A Message to Our Community
This is a historic weather event. While our national infrastructure is designed for resilience, the sheer volume of water predicted by the 500mm models requires individual responsibility. Please check on your neighbors, stay off the roads, and rely only on official government channels for updates.
Stay safe, stay vigilant, and stay indoors.
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